Despite mounting worries of a worldwide economic crisis, a well-followed Cryptocurrency 2025 feels Bitcoin (BTC) is preparing for one last big surge in the current market cycle.
Known for his keen financial views on X (previously Twitter), where he boasts a following of over 268,000, pseudonymous strategist Jack predicts Bitcoin could defy the depressing macroeconomic background and set a strong breakthrough. His forecast comes before the Federal Reserve’s forthcoming interest rate decision, which he thinks is unlikely to include a rate reduction—even as oil prices drop to levels usually indicating declining financial health.
Oil Plunge Alerts Economic Stress
Crude oil is selling at $59.77 at the time of writing, down 22% from its opening price of $77.46. Jack argues that this sharp decline clearly indicates demand destruction and economic contraction, not only about supply and demand. Many times, these factors cause rising risk aversion in conventional markets.
Jack still finds a benefit for Bitcoin, though. Conventional assets would suffer in the face of slower global development, but he speculates Bitcoin might react differently, particularly considering its distributed character and past of uncorrelated movements.
Bitcoin Might Match the March 2020 Playbook of Gold
Jack compares the present situation of Bitcoin with the behavior of gold in March 2020, in the early phases of the COVID-19 epidemic. Gold fell around 15% back then, then surged by almost 43% in the next five months—a severe but brief slump.
“How do things with Bitcoin here? Best bet is it tracks equities but decouples and heals rapidly. In March 2020, see gold as a short, shallow drop followed by the beginning of the steepest portion of its parabolic trend. It would be the ideal trade and might form the basis of an amazing surge.
Jack thinks Bitcoin may first decline with risk assets then swiftly decouple and recover, setting the stage for what could be the steepest and last leg of this cycle’s bull run, just as gold rallied fast from panic-induced lows.
Bitcoin’s Critical Support Level $93,000
Jack stresses the need of short-term pricing activity and important technical levels even if his macro view is positive. To keep upward momentum, Bitcoin has to be valued at $93,000, he claims.
“Low time horizon Bulls in Bitcoin do not want to see price at X once more. I would anticipate a flush otherwise.
Although he does not state the “X” level in this quotation, it is generally understood—especially in leveraged markets—that falling below $93K might set off a corrective or liquidation cascade.
Jack suggests that should Bitcoin be able to maintain this support, it would confirm the optimistic configuration and cause a quick price rise reminiscent of past parabolic actions.
Watching the markets Fed, oil, and risk attitude
This study comes right as the market waits for Federal Reserve signals. While inflation has dropped recently, the Fed is still wary and a rate pause might have short-term effects on equities and risk assets.
Still, the story of Bitcoin as digital gold might resurface in such an atmosphere, particularly if conventional markets exhibit indicators of stress. If macro conditions stabilize—or worsen in a way that benefits distributed assets—the ground may be set for a breakout given institutional involvement at an all-time high and ETFs continuing to draw inflows.
Is Bitcoin getting ready to once more challenge gravity?
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